Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 2.191197 2.312663 2.443747 2.596974 2.772856 2.970599 3.212999
2025-06-01 2.044838 2.197595 2.369479 2.580428 2.837206 3.146782 3.560803
2025-06-08 1.941312 2.111691 2.308935 2.559538 2.878279 3.284531 3.870271
2025-06-15 1.883361 2.070234 2.292065 2.582940 2.968663 3.488484 4.301550
2025-06-22 1.789113 1.977392 2.203859 2.505913 2.915871 3.486545 4.425317
2025-06-29 1.738449 1.933791 2.172469 2.497441 2.951414 3.610262 4.771160
2025-07-06 1.676053 1.871915 2.113612 2.447082 2.921844 3.630666 4.942863
2025-07-13 1.655669 1.861122 2.118742 2.481998 3.015926 3.853485 5.553696
2025-07-20 1.649310 1.867205 2.145335 2.547343 3.160836 4.184039 6.541638
2025-07-27 1.620115 1.842166 2.128736 2.549467 3.207376 4.351473 7.253136
2025-08-03 1.594005 1.819859 2.114364 2.553226 3.255986 4.530933 8.129884
2025-08-10 1.546889 1.768188 2.057639 2.490896 3.189704 4.474323 8.232509
2025-08-17 1.518553 1.741603 2.035850 2.481843 3.216147 4.619074 9.209662
2025-08-24 1.490558 1.714404 2.011889 2.467751 3.232158 4.745329 10.299519
2025-08-31 1.462935 1.686732 1.986027 2.449003 3.237856 4.850208 11.496184
2025-09-07 1.449799 1.678001 1.986239 2.470295 3.316889 5.144008 14.658028
2025-09-14 1.409431 1.631103 1.930436 2.400306 3.221474 4.990874 14.133387
2025-09-21 1.389941 1.612236 1.914213 2.392596 3.242278 5.138495 16.920575
2025-09-28 1.359981 1.578296 1.875264 2.346688 3.187107 5.078036 17.409539
2025-10-05 1.354382 1.577638 1.884298 2.378529 3.284032 5.452863 28.352550
2025-10-12 1.356687 1.587851 1.909389 2.437990 3.442954 6.078876 NaN
2025-10-19 1.343057 1.575384 1.900450 2.439920 3.484218 6.355939 NaN
2025-10-26 1.330441 1.563996 1.892686 2.443335 3.528966 6.668140 NaN